Current market conditions are influenced by rising oil prices and heightened risk aversion, largely tied to ongoing military conflicts in the Middle East. This includes comments from U.S. President Donald Trump regarding Iran's leadership, which further unsettled traders.
Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, commented on Bitcoin's recent behavior stating, “Bitcoin hasn’t acted as a classic risk-on or risk-off asset lately— even as global tensions flare.” Interestingly, on-chain data suggests that long-term Bitcoin holders have not significantly sold off their assets, indicating a consolidation phase that may lead to a breakout in the third quarter of 2025.
Amidst this volatility, a significant legislative development occurred as the U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Act, a bill designed to create a regulatory framework for stablecoin issuance. This act has potential implications for institutional adoption and the integration of stablecoin payment systems into traditional finance. Nick Ruck, director at LVRG Research, noted that the bill could enhance adoption by enabling businesses to leverage stablecoins for instant transactions, referencing what is seen in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector.